Detecting market price distortions with neural networks

Detecting price deviations from fundamental value is challenging because the fundamental value itself is uncertain. A shortcut for doing so is to look at...

Risk management shocks and price distortions

Risk management relies on statistical metrics that converge on common standards. These metrics can change drastically alongside market conditions. A risk management shock is...

How market liquidity causes price distortions

Liquidity is a critical force behind market price distortions (and related trading opportunities). First, the cost of trading in and out of a contract...

The price effects of order flow

Order flow means buyer- or seller-initiated transactions at electronic exchanges. Order flow consumes liquidity provided by market makers and drives a wedge between transacted...

Rebalancing and market price distortions

Price distortions are an important source of short-term trading profits, particularly in turbulent markets. Here price distortions mean apparent price-value gaps that arise from...

Equity return anomalies and their causes

The vast range of academically researched equity return anomalies can be condensed into five categories: return momentum, outperformance of high valuation, ...

A theory of hedge fund runs

Hedge funds’ capital structure is vulnerable to market shocks because most of them offer high liquidity to loss-sensitive investors. Moreover, hedge fund managers form...

Market noise

The term “market noise” refers to transactions that are erratic and unrelated to fundamental value. Theory suggests that without market noise profitable trading would...

How salience theory explains the mispricing of risk

Salience theory suggests that decision makers exaggerate the probability of extreme events if they are aware of their possibility. This gives rise to subjective...

Multiple risk-free interest rates

Financial markets produce more than one risk-free interest rate. This is because there are several separate market segments where structured trades replicate such a...

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Intervention liquidity

Unsterilized central bank interventions in foreign exchange and securities markets increase base money liquidity independently from demand. Thus, they principally affect the money price...

Trading strategies based on implicit subsidies

Detecting implicit subsidies is one of the most effective principles of building macro trading strategies. Implicit subsidies manifest as expected excess returns over and...

Inflation expectations and interest rate swap returns

Inflation expectations wield great influence over fixed income returns. They determine the nominal yield required for a given equilibrium real interest rate, they influence...

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